From 2f1176f8abeeabba03851870d52227577104e861 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: mac Date: Thu, 18 Dec 2025 11:52:14 -0500 Subject: Auto from nzxt - Thu 18 Dec 2025 11:52:14 AM EST --- Finance/index.md | 8 +++++--- Trading.md | 6 +++--- 2 files changed, 8 insertions(+), 6 deletions(-) diff --git a/Finance/index.md b/Finance/index.md index f16a738..b317019 100644 --- a/Finance/index.md +++ b/Finance/index.md @@ -11,16 +11,18 @@ Hard stop loss is a must have - never again down 11% in a day in a position map all past macro event in GLD and SPY charts -eps first thing to watch +eps first thing to watch -Want to be aware of Valuation but not an investor ! Need broader context valuation is not enough, not main descision maker +Want to be aware of Valuation but not an investor ! Need broader context valuation is not enough, not main descision maker Trading is much more than looking at futures and vibing it out... repair and replace no vibing ! -scenario analisys +scenario analisys # Dynamics and logic ISM price paid leads inflation +Automation reduce the price of + Fed rate below inflation fuels growth (how?, easieer to finance yourself?) Fed rate above inflation put downward pressure on growth diff --git a/Trading.md b/Trading.md index 1cf4b93..150a470 100644 --- a/Trading.md +++ b/Trading.md @@ -75,13 +75,13 @@ MSTR BTC risk Oil Shock risk -# Notes & Observations on markets dynamics +# Notes & Observations on Economic landscape - Ai "god" momentum & service sector apocalypse -- no hiring no firing mrkt +- no hiring no firing mrkt - Unemployement from AI risk -- K shaped everything +- K shaped everything - chart mag7 vs 493 others - Will fed pivot trigger another run up in inflation a la 1974-1982 - compare 74-76 to 22-24... {{local:img/CPI-74-82vstoday.jpg}} - Inflation still historically high - Trump admin is inflationary -- cgit v1.2.3