diff options
| author | mac <ra@afu.re> | 2025-12-18 10:43:53 -0500 |
|---|---|---|
| committer | mac <ra@afu.re> | 2025-12-18 10:43:53 -0500 |
| commit | 24c8743f5e6a30d91ee84e54589b818275521128 (patch) | |
| tree | 66204c28cfd84f4f6b5f3b4f20a5a44fbc42ad2e | |
| parent | 6bcb6623d07640d40fa4076a0c9a0e6997369e25 (diff) | |
Auto from nzxt - Thu 18 Dec 2025 10:43:53 AM EST
| -rw-r--r-- | Finance/index.md | 6 | ||||
| -rw-r--r-- | Trading.md | 10 |
2 files changed, 15 insertions, 1 deletions
diff --git a/Finance/index.md b/Finance/index.md index 9152992..f16a738 100644 --- a/Finance/index.md +++ b/Finance/index.md @@ -11,7 +11,13 @@ Hard stop loss is a must have - never again down 11% in a day in a position map all past macro event in GLD and SPY charts +eps first thing to watch +Want to be aware of Valuation but not an investor ! Need broader context valuation is not enough, not main descision maker + +Trading is much more than looking at futures and vibing it out... +repair and replace no vibing ! +scenario analisys # Dynamics and logic ISM price paid leads inflation @@ -40,6 +40,9 @@ WBD Buy dec 25 cal @ 0.75$ - XOM 145 PT - SU - [[wiki4:HON|HON]] +- Long DUOL - valuation reset eps 25x pivot +- short BAH (consulants) +- long cflt alab # Market Themes & Narratives @@ -50,7 +53,6 @@ another leg for silver to 80 / 100 ? Papermarket & physicals shenanigans - midterms - Q1 usually is OK, with the weakness coming in Q2 and Q3 - see chart {{local:img/midterms.png|midterms seasonality}} the subsequent quarters after Midterms are the strongest @@ -75,6 +77,12 @@ Oil Shock risk # Notes & Observations on markets dynamics +- Ai "god" momentum & service sector apocalypse + +- no hiring no firing mrkt + +- K shaped everything + - Will fed pivot trigger another run up in inflation a la 1974-1982 - compare 74-76 to 22-24... {{local:img/CPI-74-82vstoday.jpg}} - Inflation still historically high - Trump admin is inflationary |