Auto from nzxt - Sat 19 Jul 2025 11:54:13 AM EDT

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 Solid thesis is not a hedge, exucution is
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+    Technical / Momentum Setups
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+This is where price action becomes process, not art or retail mythology.
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+Technical setups matter. But not because you drew a flag on a chart and called it conviction.
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+I use trendlines. But not in isolation. I care when a trendline coincides with:
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+    Anchored VWAPs from prior catalysts (earnings, guidance, gap days)
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+    Volume areas that absorbed selling during prior stress
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+    Key Moving Averages
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+    Dealer hedging zones / known gamma pivots
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+    Where price has respected it multiple times on volume
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+In context, a trendline isn't necessarily a signal. It's a potential decision zone, where flow either confirms or rejects. It prompts the question: are sellers still in control, or has the tape shifted? Are passive bids starting to take the lead?
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+Here's how I classify high-probability technical setups:
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+Risk Ignition: Multi-day coiling range after a directional impulse → sharp unwind of weak positioning = asymmetry.
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+Reclaims: Name undercuts prior low, flushes weak hands, then reclaims the level on volume. Your signal isn't the low, it's the acceptance above it.
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+Range expansion: Tight tape, then expansion into space, especially if supported by flows or macro backdrop.
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+Trend retest holds: Multi-week trendlines respected on a low-vol pullback into macro risk (CPI/FOMC/NFP), followed by a reclaim = risk-on signal.
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+What matters most is how the price trades at those levels. Not that it gets there, but what happens when it does.
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+I guess what I am trying to say is that strong hands buy structure and weak hands chase. Your job is to lean into those control zones, where you can define risk, size with intent, and scale into conviction when the market confirms.