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| -rw-r--r-- | Finance/Financial Terms.md | 28 | ||||
| -rw-r--r-- | Finance/Fundamentals/Axioms.md | 10 | ||||
| -rw-r--r-- | Finance/Fundamentals/Financial_Dictonary.md | 29 | ||||
| -rw-r--r-- | Finance/Fundamentals/Indicators.md | 18 | ||||
| -rw-r--r-- | Finance/Fundamentals/Option Strategies.md | 18 | ||||
| -rw-r--r-- | Finance/Fundamentals/Technical_analysis.md | 18 | ||||
| -rw-r--r-- | Finance/Fundamentals/index.md | 16 | ||||
| -rw-r--r-- | Finance/Research/Tickers/index.md | 90 | ||||
| -rw-r--r-- | Finance/Research/index.md | 25 | ||||
| -rw-r--r-- | Finance/index.md | 180 |
10 files changed, 212 insertions, 220 deletions
diff --git a/Finance/Financial Terms.md b/Finance/Financial Terms.md index ccd6fa7..8b13789 100644 --- a/Finance/Financial Terms.md +++ b/Finance/Financial Terms.md @@ -1,29 +1 @@ -Backwardation: Foward price of a future conract is lower than spot price -Contango: Foward price of a future contract is higher than spot price - -Contract for Difference (CFD's) - -Quarterly Refunding Announcement (QRA) aka The Refunding - -Free Cash Flow (FCF) - -Net Operating Income (NOI) - -Debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) - -Loan to value (LTV) - -Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) - -Producer Price Index (PPI) - -SOFR is ex-LIBOR - -Goldilocks: An ideal state for an economy whereby the economy is not expanding or contracting by too much. Has steady economic growth, preventing a recession, but not so much growth that inflation rises by too much - -Hawkish: Favor higher interest rates to keep inflation in check -Dovish: Favor an interest rate policy that is more accommodative to stimulate spending in an economy - - -Curve Steepener: buying short-term Treasuries and shorting longer-term Treasuries diff --git a/Finance/Fundamentals/Axioms.md b/Finance/Fundamentals/Axioms.md index 854cf42..ea71868 100644 --- a/Finance/Fundamentals/Axioms.md +++ b/Finance/Fundamentals/Axioms.md @@ -4,7 +4,7 @@ Don't trade P/L, trade stocks Price leads sentiment and sentiment drive the narrative. -Cheapest "insurance" is trend following. +Cheapest insurance is trend following - Trend following is the most cost efficient hedge Naked selling of Options is akin to "Picking pennies of the railway track." @@ -32,3 +32,11 @@ Nothing is ever confirmed until it is pubicly denied Solana is best thought as 4xQQQ +Druckenmiller: "I never use valuation to time the market. I use liquidity considerations and technical analysis for timing. Valuation only tells me how far the market can go once a catalyst enters the picture to change the market direction." + +Druckenmiller: Earnings don’t move the overall market; it’s the Federal Reserve Board… focus on the central banks and focus on the movement of liquidity… most people in the market are looking for earnings and conventional measures. It’s liquidity that moves markets. + +Twitter: when a group of low IQ retards start shouting loudly in unison, they do the work for you… + +Positioning is everything + diff --git a/Finance/Fundamentals/Financial_Dictonary.md b/Finance/Fundamentals/Financial_Dictonary.md new file mode 100644 index 0000000..ccd6fa7 --- /dev/null +++ b/Finance/Fundamentals/Financial_Dictonary.md @@ -0,0 +1,29 @@ +Backwardation: Foward price of a future conract is lower than spot price + +Contango: Foward price of a future contract is higher than spot price + +Contract for Difference (CFD's) + +Quarterly Refunding Announcement (QRA) aka The Refunding + +Free Cash Flow (FCF) + +Net Operating Income (NOI) + +Debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) + +Loan to value (LTV) + +Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) + +Producer Price Index (PPI) + +SOFR is ex-LIBOR + +Goldilocks: An ideal state for an economy whereby the economy is not expanding or contracting by too much. Has steady economic growth, preventing a recession, but not so much growth that inflation rises by too much + +Hawkish: Favor higher interest rates to keep inflation in check +Dovish: Favor an interest rate policy that is more accommodative to stimulate spending in an economy + + +Curve Steepener: buying short-term Treasuries and shorting longer-term Treasuries diff --git a/Finance/Fundamentals/Indicators.md b/Finance/Fundamentals/Indicators.md index db803f4..ae60eeb 100644 --- a/Finance/Fundamentals/Indicators.md +++ b/Finance/Fundamentals/Indicators.md @@ -11,3 +11,21 @@ - Lagging Past (lag 3-6 months) - Coincident Present - Leading Future (lag 6-12 months + + + +Supercore (that’s core services ex housing) is what the FED like to watch (CPI) +Services inflation is the one bit most correlated to wages and unemployment. + + +OECD leading index too volatile to be usefull +Architecture Billings index... + + +Earnings are a conincident indicator, foward looking statement are much more important + + +QRA : issue bill its stimulant + issue bonds its removing liquidity from market + + diff --git a/Finance/Fundamentals/Option Strategies.md b/Finance/Fundamentals/Option Strategies.md index d44431c..eef4511 100644 --- a/Finance/Fundamentals/Option Strategies.md +++ b/Finance/Fundamentals/Option Strategies.md @@ -10,3 +10,21 @@ Bearish: Hedging: + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + +When putting up a option spread always write first because the credit you get is your "budget" for the trade + diff --git a/Finance/Fundamentals/Technical_analysis.md b/Finance/Fundamentals/Technical_analysis.md new file mode 100644 index 0000000..78f7b9b --- /dev/null +++ b/Finance/Fundamentals/Technical_analysis.md @@ -0,0 +1,18 @@ +# Return Formula + +R(n) = (CP(n) - OP(n)) / OP(n) + +Where: + - R(n) = Return in period n + - CP(n) = Close price + - OP(n) = Open price + +# Rainbow logic + +uptrend = 8 EMA(exponential ma) > 21 EMA > 34 EMA > 50 SMA(simple ma) > 100 SMA > 200 SMA +downtrend = 8 EMA < 21 EMA < 34 EMA < 50 SMA < 100 SMA < 200 SMA + red, orange ,yellow, green, blue, mauve + + +Sahm Rule = looking at the slope of an average + diff --git a/Finance/Fundamentals/index.md b/Finance/Fundamentals/index.md index 3733368..bfde47c 100644 --- a/Finance/Fundamentals/index.md +++ b/Finance/Fundamentals/index.md @@ -4,26 +4,18 @@ [[Axioms]] +[[Financial_Dictonary]] + [[Option Strategies]] -Theory? +[[Technical_analysis]] + Q1 = Janvier,Fevrier,Mars Q2 = Avril,May,Juin Q3 = Juillet,Aout,Septembre - -# Return Formula - -R(n) = (CP(n) - OP(n)) / OP(n) - -Where: - - R(n) = Return in period n - - CP(n) = Close price - - OP(n) = Open price - - # 11 Major Sector | Real Estate | Cyclical | diff --git a/Finance/Research/Tickers/index.md b/Finance/Research/Tickers/index.md index 1b1dfee..8c35e08 100644 --- a/Finance/Research/Tickers/index.md +++ b/Finance/Research/Tickers/index.md @@ -12,3 +12,93 @@ [[TRAK]] + +# Russia +0486.hk - rusal +SBER.ME - sberbank +EPAM - US BASED - BELARUS FOUNDER +BGEO.l - Bank georgia + + +# rate cut play - why ? +BLND +RKT + +Prepare short MSTR / BTC setup + +DMRC +- High short interest +- working witht he big boys on digital watermark +- might come in before election ? catalyst + +Regarding TIN, I’ve mentioned the only 2 ways to invest is Alphamin and MLX in Australia + + +PVH - owns both calvin klein & tommy hilfinger +Kering - owns Gucci + +vitalfarms +Each box contains info about, and the webcam! address of the specific farm that sources the eggs. +That's a warm and fuzzy empathy button click for female consumers. + + +Compiling UAS/UAV names +$avav $rtx $lilm $evtl $amba $achr $ktos $joby $noc $cgy $keyw $lhx $gd $hon $lmt $tdy $tdg $rtx $txt $eh $pruia $parro $drshf $rcat $dpro $leg $blde $swks $jbl $irdm $kmtuy +drone - RCAT + +precious metals list + +Gold +$GDX $GDXJ $NEM $GOLD $EGO $EQX $KGC $IAG $HMY + +Silver +$SIL $SILJ $AEM $PAAS + + + +- AXT Inc. (AXTI): Manufactures compound semiconductor substrates, including gallium arsenide and indium phosphide. Category: Raw Materials and Components. + +- CEVA, Inc. (CEVA): Licenses wireless connectivity and smart sensing technologies. Category: IP, Design Software, and R&D Tools. + +- CVD Equipment Corporation (CVV): Designs and manufactures equipment for the development and production of advanced materials. Category: Manufacturing/Assembly Equipment and Services. + +- Aehr Test Systems (AEHR): Develops and manufactures systems for burning-in and testing logic, optical, and memory integrated circuits. Category: Testing and Packaging. + +- Ambarella, Inc. (AMBA): Develops high-definition video compression and image processing products. Category: Fabless Chip Designers. + +- Qorvo, Inc. (QRVO): Provides technologies and RF solutions for mobile, infrastructure, and aerospace/defense applications. Category: Integrated Device Manufacturers. + +- Wolfspeed, Inc. (WOLF): Specializes in silicon carbide and gallium nitride materials and devices. Category: Raw Materials and Components. + +- MACOM Technology Solutions (MTSI): Develops and manufactures semiconductor products for data center, telecommunications, and industrial applications. Category: Integrated Device Manufacturers. + +- Tower Semiconductor (TSEM): Operates semiconductor foundries, manufacturing integrated circuits with geometries ranging from 1.0 to 0.13 micron. Category: Foundries. + +- Bruker Corporation (BRKR): Provides high-performance scientific instruments and high-value analytical and diagnostic solutions. Category: Manufacturing/Assembly Equipment and Services. + +- Onto Innovation (ONTO): Provides process control tools for semiconductor manufacturing, including inspection and metrology. Category: Manufacturing/Assembly Equipment and Services. + +- Advanced Energy Industries, Inc. (AEIS): Designs and manufactures power conversion, measurement, and control solutions for industrial applications. Category: Manufacturing/Assembly Equipment and Services. + +- ANSYS, Inc. (ANSS): Develops and markets engineering simulation software used for predicting how product designs will behave in real-world environments. Category: IP, Design Software, and R&D Tools. + +- Keysight Technologies (KEYS): Produces electronic design and test instrumentation. Category: IP, Design Software, and R&D Tools. + +- ACM Research, Inc. (ACMR): Develops wet processing technology and equipment for semiconductor devices. Category: Manufacturing/Assembly Equipment and Services. + +- Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. (MPWR): Designs integrated power semiconductor solutions and power delivery architectures. Category: Integrated Device Manufacturers. + +- Microchip Technology Inc. (MCHP): Manufactures microcontroller, mixed-signal, analog, and Flash-IP integrated circuits. Category: Integrated Device Manufacturers. + +- Silicon Laboratories Inc. (SLAB): Designs and markets a range of silicon, software, and solutions for the Internet of Things, internet infrastructure, industrial automation, consumer, and automotive markets. Category: Fabless Chip Designers. + +- Skyworks Solutions, Inc. (SWKS): Produces semiconductor products for use in radio frequency and mobile communications systems. Category: Integrated Device Manufacturers. + +- Synaptics Incorporated (SYNA): Develops human interface solutions including touch, display, and biometrics products for a range of electronic devices. Category: Fabless Chip Designers. + +- Analog Devices, Inc. (ADI): Specializes in data conversion, signal processing, and power management technology. Category: Integrated Device Manufacturers. + +- Synopsys, Inc. (SNPS): Provides electronic design automation software that engineers use to design and test integrated circuits. Category: IP, Design Software, and R&D Tools. + +- Air Products and Chemicals, Inc. (APD): Supplies industrial gases and related equipment to various industries including semiconductors. Category: Raw Materials and Components. + diff --git a/Finance/Research/index.md b/Finance/Research/index.md index c0be51c..31f4465 100644 --- a/Finance/Research/index.md +++ b/Finance/Research/index.md @@ -7,3 +7,28 @@ # Citrini [[Effect of GLP-1's on investment landscape]] + + +# SpiralCal +Vix correlation to neap tide and low tides & moon +works best when market emotionals + + + + + +since 1986 the return of writing puts on the SPX as outperformed Buy and hold in both returns and vol + + + + +If you look back at the history of volatility not every vol crush is followed by a major volatility spike but there is never a major vol spike unless its preceded by a vol crush. +when vix curve goes into invertion it is one of the best signals ! +look at the standard deviation of the slope of the invertion >> you can pick bottoms like crazy + + + +The multifamily residential investment is effectively to buy dilapidated, low-yielding units, rehabilitate +them, increase the rent, and then refinance the investment via government agency loans + + diff --git a/Finance/index.md b/Finance/index.md index 74a8fc6..8eeaf50 100644 --- a/Finance/index.md +++ b/Finance/index.md @@ -16,88 +16,18 @@ Research ? Ideas(rename one to tickers??) + Themes + strategies Current? + dairy ? - - ------------- -[[Financial Terms]] - [[The Business Cycle]] [[Macro]] -# Rainbow logic -uptrend = 8 EMA(exponential ma) > 21 EMA > 34 EMA > 50 SMA(simple ma) > 100 SMA > 200 SMA -downtrend = 8 EMA < 21 EMA < 34 EMA < 50 SMA < 100 SMA < 200 SMA - red, orange ,yellow, green, blue, mauve - - - -https://kalshi.com/ - macro and pop culture casino. - - - Alexandre Harfouche - sankey diagram for income statement - -solana plan -- follow VIP addresses -- Bot MAV & 5min quick 10000X -- make a token? - -Trend following is the most cost efficient hedge - -# indexes - - OECD leading index too volatile to be usefull - Architecture Billings index... - -# SpiralCal - -Vix correlation to neap tide and low tides & moon - -works best when market emotionals - - -since 1986 the return of writing puts on the SPX as outperformed Buy and hold in both returns and vol - -Earnings are a conincident indicator, foward looking statement are much more important - -Supercore (that’s core services ex housing) is what the FED like to watch (CPI) - -# Correlations -Services inflation is the one bit most correlated to wages and unemployment. - -# Volatility - -If you look back at the history of volatility not every vol crush is followed by a major volatility spike but there is never a major vol spike unless its preceded by a vol crush. - -when vix curve goes into invertion it is one of the best signals ! -look at the standard deviation of the slope of the invertion >> you can pick bottoms like crazy - - - -QRA : issue bill its stimulant - issue bonds its removing liquidity from market - -The multifamily residential investment is effectively to buy dilapidated, low-yielding units, rehabilitate -them, increase the rent, and then refinance the investment via government agency loans - - -Policy maker want wealthflation bcs they can get tax proceeds and donor make alot of money - - -April tax day... - -Sahm Rule = looking at the slope of an average - - - # GDP print what matter most is real fixed private investment. @@ -118,13 +48,8 @@ https://theconversation.com/why-central-banks-are-too-powerful-and-have-created- -When putting up a option spread always write first because the credit you get is your "budget" for the trade - -Druckenmiller: "I never use valuation to time the market. I use liquidity considerations and technical analysis for timing. Valuation only tells me how far the market can go once a catalyst enters the picture to change the market direction." -Twitter: when a group of low IQ retards start shouting loudly in unison, they do the work for you… - -Positioning is everything +"" When I want to raise cash I put it into bershire hataways "" .... @@ -132,116 +57,13 @@ Positioning is everything - During a bear market, monitor the outperformers in significantly underperforming industries. They will be the best stocks of the coming bull. - When the bear gives way to the bull, buy the companies that IPO’d during the bear market. - - -- Stanley Druckenmiller -Earnings don’t move the overall market; it’s the Federal Reserve Board… focus on the central banks and focus on the movement of liquidity… most people in the market are looking for earnings and conventional measures. It’s liquidity that moves markets. - - - - Money (the kind worth having in any case) is usually downstream of character and relationships Character (mental/physical health and skill) —> relationships —> wealth - -"" When I want to raise cash I put it into bershire hataways "" .... - - - -# Russia -0486.hk - rusal -SBER.ME - sberbank -EPAM - US BASED - BELARUS FOUNDER -BGEO.l - Bank georgia - - -# rate cut play - why ? -BLND -RKT - -Prepare short MSTR / BTC setup - -DMRC -- High short interest -- working witht he big boys on digital watermark -- might come in before election ? catalyst - -Regarding TIN, I’ve mentioned the only 2 ways to invest is Alphamin and MLX in Australia - - -PVH - owns both calvin klein & tommy hilfinger -Kering - owns Gucci - - -vitalfarms -Each box contains info about, and the webcam! address of the specific farm that sources the eggs. -That's a warm and fuzzy empathy button click for female consumers. - - -Compiling UAS/UAV names -$avav $rtx $lilm $evtl $amba $achr $ktos $joby $noc $cgy $keyw $lhx $gd $hon $lmt $tdy $tdg $rtx $txt $eh $pruia $parro $drshf $rcat $dpro $leg $blde $swks $jbl $irdm $kmtuy -drone - RCAT - @SnowKitten200 - BTU AI theme still young... Lingotto/Scolari, arguably one of the best investors in Europe of his generation - keep track of his trades Some interesting holdings of theirs $Gato, $VEON, $RRC, $PCOR, $mrna, $sbsw, $PARA, $FATH $INDV - - -recious metals list - -Gold -$GDX $GDXJ $NEM $GOLD $EGO $EQX $KGC $IAG $HMY - -Silver -$SIL $SILJ $AEM $PAAS - - -- AXT Inc. (AXTI): Manufactures compound semiconductor substrates, including gallium arsenide and indium phosphide. Category: Raw Materials and Components. - -- CEVA, Inc. (CEVA): Licenses wireless connectivity and smart sensing technologies. Category: IP, Design Software, and R&D Tools. - -- CVD Equipment Corporation (CVV): Designs and manufactures equipment for the development and production of advanced materials. Category: Manufacturing/Assembly Equipment and Services. - -- Aehr Test Systems (AEHR): Develops and manufactures systems for burning-in and testing logic, optical, and memory integrated circuits. Category: Testing and Packaging. - -- Ambarella, Inc. (AMBA): Develops high-definition video compression and image processing products. Category: Fabless Chip Designers. - -- Qorvo, Inc. (QRVO): Provides technologies and RF solutions for mobile, infrastructure, and aerospace/defense applications. Category: Integrated Device Manufacturers. - -- Wolfspeed, Inc. (WOLF): Specializes in silicon carbide and gallium nitride materials and devices. Category: Raw Materials and Components. - -- MACOM Technology Solutions (MTSI): Develops and manufactures semiconductor products for data center, telecommunications, and industrial applications. Category: Integrated Device Manufacturers. - -- Tower Semiconductor (TSEM): Operates semiconductor foundries, manufacturing integrated circuits with geometries ranging from 1.0 to 0.13 micron. Category: Foundries. - -- Bruker Corporation (BRKR): Provides high-performance scientific instruments and high-value analytical and diagnostic solutions. Category: Manufacturing/Assembly Equipment and Services. - -- Onto Innovation (ONTO): Provides process control tools for semiconductor manufacturing, including inspection and metrology. Category: Manufacturing/Assembly Equipment and Services. - -- Advanced Energy Industries, Inc. (AEIS): Designs and manufactures power conversion, measurement, and control solutions for industrial applications. Category: Manufacturing/Assembly Equipment and Services. - -- ANSYS, Inc. (ANSS): Develops and markets engineering simulation software used for predicting how product designs will behave in real-world environments. Category: IP, Design Software, and R&D Tools. - -- Keysight Technologies (KEYS): Produces electronic design and test instrumentation. Category: IP, Design Software, and R&D Tools. - -- ACM Research, Inc. (ACMR): Develops wet processing technology and equipment for semiconductor devices. Category: Manufacturing/Assembly Equipment and Services. - -- Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. (MPWR): Designs integrated power semiconductor solutions and power delivery architectures. Category: Integrated Device Manufacturers. - -- Microchip Technology Inc. (MCHP): Manufactures microcontroller, mixed-signal, analog, and Flash-IP integrated circuits. Category: Integrated Device Manufacturers. - -- Silicon Laboratories Inc. (SLAB): Designs and markets a range of silicon, software, and solutions for the Internet of Things, internet infrastructure, industrial automation, consumer, and automotive markets. Category: Fabless Chip Designers. - -- Skyworks Solutions, Inc. (SWKS): Produces semiconductor products for use in radio frequency and mobile communications systems. Category: Integrated Device Manufacturers. - -- Synaptics Incorporated (SYNA): Develops human interface solutions including touch, display, and biometrics products for a range of electronic devices. Category: Fabless Chip Designers. - -- Analog Devices, Inc. (ADI): Specializes in data conversion, signal processing, and power management technology. Category: Integrated Device Manufacturers. - -- Synopsys, Inc. (SNPS): Provides electronic design automation software that engineers use to design and test integrated circuits. Category: IP, Design Software, and R&D Tools. - -- Air Products and Chemicals, Inc. (APD): Supplies industrial gases and related equipment to various industries including semiconductors. Category: Raw Materials and Components. |