summaryrefslogtreecommitdiff
path: root/Finance/Fundamentals/Indicators.md
diff options
context:
space:
mode:
Diffstat (limited to 'Finance/Fundamentals/Indicators.md')
-rw-r--r--Finance/Fundamentals/Indicators.md13
1 files changed, 12 insertions, 1 deletions
diff --git a/Finance/Fundamentals/Indicators.md b/Finance/Fundamentals/Indicators.md
index 335949f..50489f7 100644
--- a/Finance/Fundamentals/Indicators.md
+++ b/Finance/Fundamentals/Indicators.md
@@ -4,15 +4,21 @@
[[University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (UMCSI)]]
+[[Employement Situation Report (ESR)]]
+[[Building Permits Report (BPR)]]
+[[Euro Econ Sentiment (ESI)]]
3 types of economic indicator
- Lagging Past (lag 3-6 months)
- Coincident Present
- Leading Future (lag 6-12 months
+One amateur mistake is to use Coincident indicators to initiate postions
+Confirmation Indicators: Coincident & Lagging indicators
+They either confirm or deny our views on the prospects of US GDP Growth, that we have already obtained from Leading Indicators, 6-12 month earlier.
Supercore (that’s core services ex housing) is what the FED like to watch (CPI)
Services inflation is the one bit most correlated to wages and unemployment.
@@ -34,4 +40,9 @@ Need to take notice of when number of 401K millionaires peak
wealthflation = price of financial assets,real estate, cost of private school...
plebflation = what we are experiencing, epicerie ect.. (more cpi like?)
-
+# Industrial Productions Numbers
+- Published around 16th of each month
+- Coincident Indicator
+- Lag PMI by ~6month
+- Monthly raw volumes of goods produced by industrial firms
+- Used inconjuction with industry capacity estimate to calculate capacity utilisation ratio for each line of business