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[[Gross Domestic Products (GDP)]]
[[ISM Purshasing Manager Index (PMI)]]
[[University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (UMCSI)]]
3 types of economic indicator
- Lagging Past (lag 3-6 months)
- Coincident Present
- Leading Future (lag 6-12 months
Supercore (that’s core services ex housing) is what the FED like to watch (CPI)
Services inflation is the one bit most correlated to wages and unemployment.
OECD leading index too volatile to be usefull
Architecture Billings index...
Earnings are a conincident indicator, foward looking statement are much more important
QRA : issue bill its stimulant
issue bonds its removing liquidity from market
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