summaryrefslogtreecommitdiff
path: root/Finance/index.md
blob: cddf95ba4d7bcb8ddb979ea8a6b1009ec0ea8e24 (plain)
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42

[Fundamentals](/Fundamentals/index.md)

[Research](/Research/index.md)

[[Current]]



probability = succesful outcomes / total outcomes

odds = succesful outcome : unsucessful outcomes

1:(1/p-1) where p expressed as decimals



if opinion on forex express it via stocks


If started positon half of max position can cut stp loss by half


Start by analysing Volatility ATR of the stock to set initial hard stp loss and soft target



Positive correlation between Nominal GDP growth rate & Nominal interest rates


Every company in theory if not shriking should grow at least at GDP + Inflation
Inflation - 2%
GDP - 3%
5%
then assume the growth of the total TAM fo the business lets say 3%
8% growth is now the baseline, where you get the multiples, multiples the company should trade at
8% * 2 = 16 should be at 16x times multiples



# COSTLY ERROR
WTF WHY ARE THE CHART & BID NOT THE SAME AS MARKET PRICE IN ACCOUNT TAB ???