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# Trades Watchlist
- TRAK - Long Beta Momentum into catalyst: Food safety modernisation act enforcement on January 20, 2026.
- LIN - Long Beta Momentum, high beta vs S&P ?
- WBA - Long Turnaround
- AMT - Long as proxy for short rates
- BG - Long Inflation trade
- NVDA - Short turnaround - Has gone nowhere since June 2024! Get over it. Move on. You can make money from other stocks too PT:70-85$ by June
- ASTS - Long Beta momentum ?
- NKE - Long
- UBER - Jan26 Risk/Reversal - Short $72.5 Puts, Long $115 Calls for $0.59 net credit
- TEMPUS AI (TEM) - Jan26 Risk/Reversal - Short $45 Puts, Long $100 Calls for 0$
- NEBIUS (NBIS) Jan26 Risk/Reversal - Short $30 puts, Long $60 calls
- ARM (long via Mar26 $120 calls)
- AMT - LONG BOND PROXY PLAY
- Jan26 $31/$42 SLV
- short KLC (bearcave)
- bullish CRCL if pullback
- long VZ & AT&T
- PSIX as datacenter trade ?
- HE - hwaian electric (turnaround) ?
If the Nixon shock ushered in the end of Bretton Woods 1.0, yesterday — probably to be named in history “Trump shock” — ushered in the end of Bretton Woods 2.0.
positive catalyst for end of "correction": new debt ceiling which will provide an injection of liquidity,
NFP next Friday (3rd July), 90-day pause deadline on reciprocal tariffs (9th July), CPI (15th July), FOMC (30th July), NFP (1st August), CPI (12th August) and the 90-day pause deadline on 145% tariffs for China (14th August.
# We dont know when bottom
astrology say's should be end march, lot volatility sideway trading april/may then FED does something June then New moon in cancer end june market goes into recovery
GAG: focus on pre-vote SPACS
SPACs, the downside is the Trust Floor (free options)
CANNABIS RESCHEDULING ?
Mike Tyson got on Fox News pleading for relaxed marijuana regulation
GAG THEME
Basel3 - 1 july 25
basel3 reclassified gold as Tier 1 asset, on par with cash and bonds
project 2025 & gold
China taking over Taiwan - Trade war in focus now
DEFLATION ?
ACCUMULATE BONDS ? I wouldn't take any profits, we may end up at 3% on 10y once people see deflation as more likely than stagflation - texaskitty
real austerity (fix aka no QE ) or QE
eurofag to ban XMR by 2027
the whole,we are going to take care of the deficit by the trump admin was a big joke, only thing they can do is pump bags, DC need the market higher so can service more debt.
# citrini
We think healthcare will be ground zero for phase 2 of AI, expect significant improvement in speed and efficiency in identifing drug candidate will led to significant tailwind for the drug devellopement supply chain.
# sleepysol
pointing to down trend in durable good (BEA), not good mean deflation (worst case scenario?) , as to do with restrain on immigration...
things that do well in deflationary env - Utilities, Consumer staples, Low P/E stocks (not growth)
buy healthcare, energy, utilities
24 april -
if bullish DXY should be long risk assets, sell defensive sell gold
if belives only a bounce, buy risk asset and then dump them into cash or gold and wait for next DXY leg down
Deflation is coming - earnings revison down told us
if bearish DXY - CVNA will roll over
WHEN DXY BOTTOM GO LONG RISK ASSETS
# Mike Wilson - Morgan stanley - King Contra Monkey
7 april - "4700 (SPY) next level of support"
12 may - "Our 6,500 S&P 500 year-end target is very much intact"
ad agencies like Interpublic Group (NYSE: IPG — $9.38 billion), Omnicom Group (NYSE: OMC — $14.6 billion), and WPP plc (NYSE: WPP — $7.72 billion) may suffer as more companies use Generative AI for their advertising campaigns.
commodities ready to explode higher ?
every economically sensitive cyclical is moving up when the high beta stuff is flushing.
handset-to-headset transition - meta bought into EssilorLuxotica
the trend of direct AI-powered answers will become a headwind for other websites like Yelp (NYSE: YELP — $2.18 billion), Tripadvisor (NASDAQ: TRIP — $2.36 billion), NerdWallet (NASDAQ: NRDS — $789 million), and companies like Taboola (NASDAQ: TBLA — $1.17 billion), which provides programmatic ads on publisher websites.
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