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# Trades Watchlist
- TRAK - Catalyst: FSMA enforcement on January 20, 2026.
- LIN - Long when turnaround in ISM PMI
- AMT - Proxy for trading rates (yields)
- BG - Long Inflation trade - BUY DIP
- BTU - DEFINE & BUY DIP
- HE - hwaian electric (turnaround) ?
- HYPD - need conviction
- MO/PM - BUY DIP
- Short UPS / FDX
- Short BYND - OPTION TRADE SINCE HARD TO FIND SHARES
- Short NSRGY
- BUY PORSHE
- Short PE (CVNA, BX, APO) party over why? Credit where danger currently is, why?
- LONG UURAF (biggest weight citrini...)
- INTC - most obvious market long
- Long ZM
- CENX
# Market Themes (dynamics) (eventually separate into current and future?)
I have to start having hard stop loses, I have to tell myself NEVER NEVER CAN I BE DOWN 11% in a position after 1 day in a trade...
- GOLD 1934 playbook? - Bessent "monetising the balance sheet assets"
- short turnaround ai bubble pop - prepare trades in advance
- Chinese supply chain wars - Rare earth CCP export control
dec 1 start
- pentagon... THE ERA OF VITOL, GUNVOR, GLENCORE, TRAFIGURA AND MERCURIA IS COMING TO AN END ?
The Russell is in the process of having a proper breakout that will be a signal people look back on retrospectively similar to 2021
- handset to headset transition
- Ad agencies to be hurt by GenAI (IPG, OMC, WPP)
- GAG (trump admin won't take care of the deficit, it was just a big joke, they will pump bags so DC can service more debt)
- Golden Dome - $ASTS $RKLB $BKSY $RDW $ESLT
What we saw in the last couple of weeks was likely a preview of a wider “unwind” that may (or may not!) take place later down the line.
- Canada being greeked - Greeks had borrowed money from the global markets in order to buy houses massively. They thought that house ownership somehow, someone, somewhere would produce goods and services for them
- https://redlib.privacyredirect.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1of1r16/short_quantum_ionq_qbts_rgti_qubt_btq_laes_cccx/
GOLD trades in line with the king of meme stocks, OKLO ...
China planning to elevate Gold to HQLA(High-Quality Liquid Assets) status for repo and infrastructure funding for BRICS nations
KRE good bellweather
# citrini
We think healthcare will be ground zero for phase 2 of AI, expect significant improvement in speed and efficiency in identifing drug candidate will led to significant tailwind for the drug devellopement supply chain.
# sleepy sol
FIAT CURRENCY DEBASEMENT END GOAL
Long end of every gov is starting to collapse as inflation or idea of inflation gets into the system
if energy does not work in the next few weeks, will not work until q2 2026 ... ?
end 26 HAS 100-115$ PT
sleepy sol - RDDT 2027 250 calls on the next touch of 141.
It’s only 1997 or oct 1999 ?
2026
MSTR BTC risk
Oil Shock risk
Ai bubble bursting
greeked - https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/realestate/the-housing-market-is-no-longer-a-wealth-building-engine-as-home-prices-continue-to-slump/ar-AA1LyI8C?apiversion=v2&noservercache=1&domshim=1&renderwebcomponents=1&wcseo=1&batchservertelemetry=1&noservertelemetry=1
https://www.newsweek.com/majority-companies-hiking-prices-cover-tariffs-kpmg-10840802
map past macro event in GLD and SPY charts
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