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| author | nic <ra@afu.re> | 2024-08-09 13:24:32 -0400 |
|---|---|---|
| committer | nic <ra@afu.re> | 2024-08-09 13:24:32 -0400 |
| commit | f32194ddf9e295cef45143aa7d8e499b9cd80b9b (patch) | |
| tree | 10867f55312ef3498591d80a9306af87950d37cb | |
| parent | f3cd4459702a1442f46f0e70af212c64ab047d23 (diff) | |
Auto from nzxt - Fri 09 Aug 2024 01:24:32 PM EDT
| -rw-r--r-- | Finance/Current.md | 10 | ||||
| -rw-r--r-- | Finance/Fundamentals/The Business Cycle.md (renamed from Finance/The Business Cycle.md) | 0 | ||||
| -rw-r--r-- | Finance/Research/index.md | 6 |
3 files changed, 16 insertions, 0 deletions
diff --git a/Finance/Current.md b/Finance/Current.md index aff8bf3..dc5593e 100644 --- a/Finance/Current.md +++ b/Finance/Current.md @@ -7,11 +7,21 @@ For last 7 Quarters Real governement purshases is growing at a faster rate than The federal debt increased almost $600 billion in Q1, in exchange for GDP increasing about $300 billion. In other words, the federal government is “buying” only 53 cents of “growth” for every dollar it goes into debt +# PMI jul +Service PMI employement came in at 46.1 confirming a 5 month contraction that is intensifying & confirming Jan print was dead cat bounce + + # Macro - USDJPY > 161, for the first time since 1986.Z - Freddie Mac filed a proposal with the FHFA (Federal Housing Finance Agency) to enter the secondary mortgage market (i.e. home equity loans), which could potentially unlock $980bn in equity for homeowners. Furthermore, if Fannie Mae and Ginnie Mac enter the market too, that figure jumps to $3 trillion. - covert fiscal stimulus plan for boomers - Israel-Iran war - ukraine +- Citi group economic surprise index in negative territory since may, will lead to 10y t-note trend down +- Mag7 sentiment ATH +- Canada UR back to GFC levels +- As corporate revenues get under pressure, volume & unit sales protection will superseede any other consideration (at top line) & margin protection will super seede at bottom line. Will lead to short period of defalation in goods and services. If labor weakness added to the mix people will pile into rates quickly. +- existing home for sale above 21,22,23 lvls +- PAYX/SPY ratio OCT 23 Rally started after Yellen QRA* issued 50B less bonds than the market expected topped at the start of april 24 with spy @ 525 5% correction in april with low @ 493, triggered by hot CPI and now 15 of may new ATH diff --git a/Finance/The Business Cycle.md b/Finance/Fundamentals/The Business Cycle.md index 451ae7c..451ae7c 100644 --- a/Finance/The Business Cycle.md +++ b/Finance/Fundamentals/The Business Cycle.md diff --git a/Finance/Research/index.md b/Finance/Research/index.md index 787e424..353da11 100644 --- a/Finance/Research/index.md +++ b/Finance/Research/index.md @@ -31,3 +31,9 @@ them, increase the rent, and then refinance the investment via government agency Lingotto/Scolari, arguably one of the best investors in Europe of his generation - keep track of his trades Some interesting holdings of theirs $Gato, $VEON, $RRC, $PCOR, $mrna, $sbsw, $PARA, $FATH $INDV + + + + +***Cesi & 10y t-note correlation*** +Citi group economic surprise index |