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authormac <ra@afu.re>2025-12-18 11:52:14 -0500
committermac <ra@afu.re>2025-12-18 11:52:14 -0500
commit2f1176f8abeeabba03851870d52227577104e861 (patch)
tree5ba672a24b000c170fb1c978200afdbf3cbe93be
parent24c8743f5e6a30d91ee84e54589b818275521128 (diff)
Auto from nzxt - Thu 18 Dec 2025 11:52:14 AM EST
-rw-r--r--Finance/index.md8
-rw-r--r--Trading.md6
2 files changed, 8 insertions, 6 deletions
diff --git a/Finance/index.md b/Finance/index.md
index f16a738..b317019 100644
--- a/Finance/index.md
+++ b/Finance/index.md
@@ -11,16 +11,18 @@ Hard stop loss is a must have - never again down 11% in a day in a position
map all past macro event in GLD and SPY charts
-eps first thing to watch
+eps first thing to watch
-Want to be aware of Valuation but not an investor ! Need broader context valuation is not enough, not main descision maker
+Want to be aware of Valuation but not an investor ! Need broader context valuation is not enough, not main descision maker
Trading is much more than looking at futures and vibing it out...
repair and replace no vibing !
-scenario analisys
+scenario analisys
# Dynamics and logic
ISM price paid leads inflation
+Automation reduce the price of
+
Fed rate below inflation fuels growth (how?, easieer to finance yourself?)
Fed rate above inflation put downward pressure on growth
diff --git a/Trading.md b/Trading.md
index 1cf4b93..150a470 100644
--- a/Trading.md
+++ b/Trading.md
@@ -75,13 +75,13 @@ MSTR BTC risk
Oil Shock risk
-# Notes & Observations on markets dynamics
+# Notes & Observations on Economic landscape
- Ai "god" momentum & service sector apocalypse
-- no hiring no firing mrkt
+- no hiring no firing mrkt - Unemployement from AI risk
-- K shaped everything
+- K shaped everything - chart mag7 vs 493 others
- Will fed pivot trigger another run up in inflation a la 1974-1982 - compare 74-76 to 22-24... {{local:img/CPI-74-82vstoday.jpg}}
- Inflation still historically high - Trump admin is inflationary